The Basic Curve The basic probability curve looks like an anthill. Here, the X axis represents potential outcomes from worst to best, going left to right. The Y axis represents the probability of ...
A popular recession forecasting tool now shows its highest reading since 1981, signaling a high probability of a downturn in the next 12 months. The S&P 500 declined by an average of 31% during the ...
At our dinner with Peter Brandt a few weeks ago, there was a point where Peter pulled out his iPad. He wanted to show us something created by a trader in his small group. (This same trader is known, ...